Identification of causal intervention effects under contagion

Identification of Causal Effects in Multi-Agent Causal Models

In this paper we introduce multi-agent causal models (MACMs) which are an extension of causal Bayesian networks to a multi-agent setting. Instead of 1 single agent modeling the entire domain, there are several agents each modeling non-disjoint subsets of the domain. Every agent has a causal model, determined by an acyclic causal diagram and a joint probability distribution over its observed var...

Identification and Estimation of Causal Effects of Multiple Treatments Under the Conditional Independence Assumption

Identification and Estimation of Causal Effects of Multiple Treatments Under the Conditional Independence Assumption The assumption that the assignment to treatments is ignorable conditional on attributes plays an important role in the applied statistic and econometric evaluation literature. Another term for it is conditional independence assumption. This paper discusses identification when the...

Estimating Average Causal Effects Under General Interference

This paper presents randomization-based methods for estimating average causal effects under arbitrary interference of known form. Conservative estimators of the randomization variance of the average treatment effects estimators are presented, as is justification for confidence intervals based on a normal approximation. Examples relevant to research in environmental protection, networks experime...

Causal Effect Identification by Adjustment under Confounding and Selection Biases

Controlling for selection and confounding biases are two of the most challenging problems in the empirical sciences as well as in artificial intelligence tasks. Covariate adjustment (or, Backdoor Adjustment) is the most pervasive technique used for controlling confounding bias, but the same is oblivious to issues of sampling selection. In this paper, we introduce a generalized version of covari...

Control of Interbank Contagion Under Partial Information